National Soccer
The Guatemala Selection First March of its group and has options to stay in the fight for a place in the 2026 World Cup.
Guatemala selection faces a stage with possibilities. (Free Press Photo: Douglas Suruy)
The Guatemala selection is just two days after playing one of the most important matches of the project of Luis Fernando Tena.
The Mexican coach took command of the blue and white with the target to classify it to the 2026 World Cup, And so far the results in the qualifiers support it: in two played games he has obtained two wins.
However, the next two meetings will mark the most relevant week so far in the ten era, since Guatemala will play the option to classify, once again, a final round of qualifiers, something that has not achieved since 2005.
The stage is as follows: Guatemala will face the Dominican and Jamaica Republic; With at least one victory will advance to the final phase that will be played between September and November.
In the previous duel, Guatemala’s possibilities has been widely discussed to advance round. Therefore, Free press used an artificial intelligence tool for predict the outcome of the current phase and determine if the blue and white can fight For the World Cup quota later.
Guatemala selection options according to AI
Analysis of direct rivals
Dominican Republic:
- Lost to Jamaica (0-1).
- He thrashed Virgin Islands (4-0).
- He will face Guatemala (as a visitor) already Dominica (at home).
Although he has an offensive potential, he lost to a direct rival. You need to win at least one of the remaining games to aspire to advance.
Jamaica:
- He beat the Dominican Republic (1-0) already Dominica (3-2).
- It has a limited attack (4 goals in 2 games) and has received goals against weaker rivals.
- If you win your match against Virgin Islands, you will arrive with 9 points to the duel against Guatemala.
Advantages of Guatemala
- Goals difference (+9): It is the best in the group, which could be decisive in case of drawing at points.
- He will play at home against the Dominican Republic, a direct rival.
- He has not received goals.
- Overwhelming performance: He has scored 9 goals and maintains his goal at zero.
Guatemala classification probabilities
- Advance as group leader: 55%
- Advance as second place: 35%
- Be eliminated: 10%
Estimation reason
Guatemala depends on herself and plays a key game at home. Although Jamaica also adds 6 points, its goals difference is lower. Even losing to Jamaica, Guatemala could advance as a second if he expires to the Dominican Republic.
The selection is in excellent position to advance to the final round. With a single more tie (especially in front of the Dominican Republic), it would practically guarantee its classification. Its solid start and goal difference convert it into a favorite, with a combined 90%probability with a Combined 90% probability.