The most probable rivals of Guatemala in the final phase of the Concacaf Qualifiers towards the 2026 World Cup

Home Sport The most probable rivals of Guatemala in the final phase of the Concacaf Qualifiers towards the 2026 World Cup
The most probable rivals of Guatemala in the final phase of the Concacaf Qualifiers towards the 2026 World Cup

National Soccer

The Guatemala selection will meet its rivals this Thursday, June 12 in a raffle that Concacaf will carry out from 5:00 p.m.

Guatemala players pose for the game against Jamaica.

Guatemala players pose for the game against Jamaica. (Free Press Photo: AFP)

This Thursday, June 12, Concacaf will carry out, starting at 5:00 p.m., the draw of the final phase of the tie to the United States Cup, Mexico and Canada 2026.

The Confederation of North America, Central America and the Caribbean of Soccer will determine the future of The 12 selections classified to the final phase through a bomb system.

The teams were distributed in four bombs, according to the FIFA ranking of June 2025, as follows:

  • BY BOME 1 (Three best classified teams): Panama (1), Costa Rica (2), Jamaica (3)
  • Bombo 2 (Next three best classified teams): Honduras (4), El Salvador (5), Curazao (6)
  • Bombo 3 (following three best classified teams): Haiti (7), Trinidad and Tobago (8), Guatemala (9)
  • Bombo 4 (Three teams with the lowest ranking): Nicaragua (10), Surinam (11), Bermudas (12)

Most likely rivals

The Camino to the World Cup in Guatemala will be defined this Thursday 12. A few hours after the draw, Free press He simulated, by artificial intelligence, the possible rivals of the bicolor. After 10,000 simulations, the following results were obtained:

Honduras appears as the most frequent rivalsharing a group with Guatemala in 34.01% of the scenarios.

They are closely followed by Jamaica, Bermudas, Panama and Nicaragua, all with a probability slightly higher than 33%.

Most likely group: Group C

Guatemala appears in Group C in 34.29% of the simulations, along with:

  • Honduras (34.01%)
  • Jamaica (33.71%)
  • Bermuda (33.70%)

This group is statistically the most recurrent among all possible combinations, although the exact probability that this specific formation occurs is approximately 1.5%, due to the large number of combinations possible. However, it is The most repeated combination between 10,000 simulations and, therefore, The most likely.

Source