The grand final between Municipal and Antigu After the goalless draw in the first leg. Both teams arrive even on the scoreboard, but there are important nuances that slightly incline the balance to one of the two sides.
Municipal arrives as a regular phase leader with 35 pointsproduct of 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. He scored 26 goals and received 18, closing with a positive difference of +8.
In the league it has been solid: He eliminated the Mixco Deportivo in authority in the quarterfinals, with a global 4-0, and then left Marquense out with a 1-0 worker In the global. The great strength of the Reds has been his defense, with Kenderson Navarro as figure under the three sticks. They have not received a goal in the entire final phase and, in addition, they will play at home, where they have not lost throughout the league.
For its part, Antigua has proven to be the most forceful team in this final phase. He arrived as third place with 32 points, with 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, scoring 27 goals and receiving 24. But it is at the direct crosses where the green passion 5-2 global. They have scored 10 goals in four Liguilla games, becoming the most scorer in the phase.
Another detail that cannot be ignored is the Old domain over municipal in the direct clashes of this tournament. In the regular phase they faced twice and in both he won ancient: 2-1 at the thoughtful stadium and 2-1 in the clover, showing authority both at home and visiting. These results give them emotional and football support for the return.
Both teams have solid arguments. Municipal has been the most regular, has shown defensive order and has the support of its people. Antigua arrives with more goal, better mood and has shown that he knows how to play big games, especially because he already beat Municipal twice in this same tournament. Thursday’s game ended up without goals, but not without opportunities. Municipal regrets the injury of its scorer José Martínez, while Antigua arrives with almost all his squad in conditions.
Taking into account the performance in the tournament, the goals scored, the behavior In the league and direct duels, the projection favors by a minimum margin to old. While the local factor can weigh in favor of scarlets, green panels have shown that they know how to win away from home and that they arrive offensively.
In the absence of 90 minutes to define the champion, Favoritism is minimal, but real. Ancient would have 55% of probabilities of keeping the title, while Municipal maintains 45%, backed by its defensive solidity and experience in the end.
Probabilities projected according to AI
- Old GFC: 55%
- Municipal: 45%
Although municipal has the local factor, the way in which ancient has grown in the tournament – with solid and traced victories – and its domain in direct duels give it a slight advantage for the return. Everything indicates that it will be a closed final, but the green panels seem to get a step forward.