The 2024-2025 season of the UEFA Champions League reaches its highest point this Saturday with the Grand Final between Inter Milan and Paris Saint-Germain. The stage will be the imposing Allianz Arena de Munich, a city that historically has witnessed unpublished conquests in European finals.
Both clubs have had very different tours throughout the contest. One has been dominant from the beginning; The other, more suffered but equally effective in the key moments. From the performance data, results, goals for and against, and the complexity of the rivals overcome, artificial intelligence has performed an analysis to define the real probabilities that each team has to keep the most important title of European football.
Inter reaches the final with very solid arguments. In the group stage it was one of the best teams in the tournament, finishing room in the general table with 19 points, product of six wins, a draw and a defeat. In that section, he scored 11 goals and only fit one, with a positive difference of +10.
In the qualifiers, those of Simone Inzaghi did not lower their rhythm. In the round of 16 they eliminated the PSV with a global 4-1. In rooms they gave a blow of authority eliminating Bayern Munich with a global marker of 4-3, and in the semifinals they starred in a historical battle against Barcelona, with a 3-3 in the first leg and a 4-3 in the return, to advance to the final with a spectacular 7-6. With 26 goals scored and only 11 received throughout the tournament, Inter not only stands out for its defense, but also for its offensive power. Its total performance in the Champions League is 72.2%.
The PSG did not have such a brilliant group phase, but it was growing in the tournament. It ended in the 15th position of the general table with 13 points, product of four wins, a draw and three losses. He scored 14 goals and received 9, closing with a +5 difference.
In the round of 16 he faced Liverpool in a dramatic series: after losing 1-0 in the first leg, he matched the series in Anfield and advanced in penalties 4-1. In the quarterfinals, the Parisians defeated Aston Villa with a adjusted global of 5-4. And in the semifinals they were imposed on Arsenal with a 1-0 visit and a 2-1 at home, to advance with a 3-1 global. In total, the PSG adds 22 goals in favor and 14 against, with a general yield of 59.2%, lower than that of its rival, but with a competitive path and important victories that support it.
ANALYSIS IA: Who is more likely to be a champion?
Taking into account collective performance, the level of opposition faced, offensive and defensive efficiency, and statistical trends, artificial intelligence determines the following chance of title:
- Inter of Milan: 60% probability of winning the final
- Paris Saint-Germain: 40% probability of winning the final
Inter arrives more complete, with greater regularity and consistency. He surpassed Elite teams such as Bayern and Barcelona and has demonstrated ability to defend and resolve goals. The PSG, on the other hand, has had more ups and downs, but has decisive individualities such as Osmuane Dembelé, which can change any story.
The city of Munich seems to have a special charm for clubs looking for their first Champions. In the previous four occasions in which a Champions League final was played in this city, the champion was a club that the Orejona had never raised: Nottingham Forest (1979), Olympique de Marseille (1993), Borussia Dortmund (1997) and Chelsea (2012). The PSG expects this trend to play in your favor.
Inter arrives more solid. PSG, more hungry. The numbers give a slight advantage to the Italians, but the story has shown that the finals do not always follow the logic. This Saturday, in Munich, two European giants will leave everything to become the new European champion. And artificial intelligence already has its verdict.